U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket’s

U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket’s

Harry Crane, a statistics professor at Rutgers University in New Jersey, said these differences were not very meaningful. “We’re used to using polls in election forecasting, and with polls, there’s a well-understood margin of error, three percentage points usually, depending on sample size,” he said.