Darius Baruo Jul 28, 2025 22:51
ZRO trades at $1.86 after an 8.48% decline, with RSI at 39.89 suggesting oversold conditions while recent token unlock creates selling pressure.
Quick Take
• ZRO currently trading at $1.86 (-8.48% in 24h)
• ZRO RSI at 39.89 indicates neutral-to-oversold territory with potential bounce signals
• Recent 25.71 million token unlock on July 20 continues to pressure LayerZero price action
What’s Driving LayerZero Price Today?
The ZRO price decline reflects ongoing selling pressure from the substantial token unlock that occurred on July 20, when LayerZero released 25.71 million ZRO tokens into circulation. This represented a 23% increase in circulating supply, creating immediate downward pressure on the token’s market value.
Despite the positive momentum from a16z’s $55 million investment announced on July 18, which initially boosted LayerZero by 10%, the token unlock’s impact has proven more significant in driving recent price action. The venture capital firm’s investment included a three-year lockup period, demonstrating long-term institutional confidence, but this hasn’t been enough to offset the immediate supply-side pressure.
The recent partnership announcement with Muon on July 24 for cross-chain token transfers and a multichain launchpad has had minimal immediate effect on the ZRO price, as traders remain focused on the fundamental supply-demand imbalance created by the unlock event.
ZRO Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Emerge
LayerZero technical analysis reveals concerning momentum indicators across multiple timeframes. ZRO’s RSI currently sits at 39.89, positioning the token in neutral territory but approaching oversold levels, which could signal a potential bounce if buying interest emerges.
The MACD presents a clearly bearish picture for LayerZero, with the main line at -0.0092 trading below the signal line at 0.0297. The MACD histogram shows -0.0389, confirming negative momentum continues to build. This divergence suggests sellers maintain control over ZRO price direction in the near term.
LayerZero’s moving averages paint an equally challenging picture. The current ZRO price of $1.86 trades below all major moving averages except the 50-day SMA at $1.97. Most concerning is the position relative to the 200-day SMA at $2.64, indicating LayerZero remains in a longer-term downtrend.
The Bollinger Bands analysis shows ZRO trading near the lower band at $1.83, with a %B position of 0.0488. This extreme positioning often precedes either a bounce back toward the middle band or a breakdown below support levels.
LayerZero Price Levels: Key Support and Resistance
Based on Binance spot market data, LayerZero support levels show critical zones that could determine ZRO’s next directional move. The immediate ZRO support sits at $1.79, which aligns closely with the current Bollinger Band lower boundary. A break below this level could accelerate selling toward the strong LayerZero support at $1.49.
ZRO resistance levels present significant challenges for any recovery attempt. The immediate resistance at $2.46 coincides with the strong resistance level, creating a formidable barrier. For LayerZero to establish bullish momentum, ZRO would need to reclaim the 20-day moving average at $2.12, followed by a break above the pivot point at $1.92.
The current trading range between $1.84 and $2.06 from the past 24 hours establishes near-term boundaries, with the ZRO/USDT pair showing difficulty maintaining momentum above the $2.00 psychological level.
Should You Buy ZRO Now? Risk-Reward Analysis
For short-term traders, the current ZRO price action presents a high-risk scenario. The bearish MACD and position below key moving averages suggest further downside potential toward the $1.49 strong support level. Risk-averse traders should wait for confirmation of trend reversal before entering long positions.
Swing traders might consider the oversold ZRO RSI reading as a potential contrarian signal, but should implement tight stop losses below $1.79. The risk-reward ratio favors waiting for a clear break above $2.12 to confirm any bullish reversal attempt.
Long-term investors with conviction in LayerZero’s cross-chain infrastructure vision might view current levels as accumulation opportunities, especially considering a16z’s recent investment. However, the token unlock overhang suggests patience may be rewarded with better entry points near the $1.49-$1.60 zone.
Position sizing should account for LayerZero’s daily ATR of $0.17, indicating significant volatility that could provide both opportunities and risks for active traders.
Conclusion
The ZRO price faces continued pressure from recent token unlock dynamics, with technical indicators suggesting further downside risk toward $1.49 support. While LayerZero’s fundamental partnerships and institutional backing provide long-term optimism, near-term trading remains challenging. Traders should monitor the $1.79 support level closely, as a break could trigger accelerated selling toward yearly lows. Any recovery attempt must reclaim the $2.12 resistance to signal meaningful trend change in the coming 24-48 hours.
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