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Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%
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Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%

U.S.–Iran Strike Headlines Trigger Polymarket Repricing for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” Polymarket traders sharply repriced “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” with Yes up to 27.5%…
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Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note
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Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note

Polymarket Reprices 2026 Fed Cuts Ladder After AI-Stock “Risk-Off” Technical Signal Polymarket traders are pricing a high likelihood that the Fed delivers zero rate cuts in 2026, with the leading…
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Inside Cardano’s ‘Van Rossum’ hard fork, and what it means for users
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Inside Cardano’s ‘Van Rossum’ hard fork, and what it means for users

It adds new capabilities to Plutus, the platform developers use to write Cardano's smart contracts, unifying the built-in functions available across the platform's three versions so older applications gain newer…
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Exodus to cut 25% of global workforce in payments shift
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Exodus to cut 25% of global workforce in payments shift

Crypto wallet firm Exodus Movement (EXOD) will cut about 25% of its global workforce as it reshapes its business around stablecoin payments and card infrastructure.The Omaha, Nebraska-based company said in…
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Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note
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Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note

Polymarket Reprices the July 2026 Fed Decision Ladder After Balance-Sheet Reduction and Dollar Signal Polymarket traders sharply repriced the “Fed Decision in July?” ladder toward “No change,” with the leading…
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Polymarket odds put Starmer exit at 99.65% as US nomination news fades
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Polymarket odds put Starmer exit at 99.65% as US nomination news fades

Polymarket Holds Near-Certainty on “Next Leader Out Before 2027” Despite the U.S. Nomination Catalyst Polymarket traders are pricing the “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)” market as…
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The GENIUS Act turns 1: State of Crypto
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The GENIUS Act turns 1: State of Crypto

A year on, the rules aren't quite ready for implementation, but we have a much clearer idea as to how the regulators are thinking about stablecoins and where they're likely…
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Bitcoin’s biggest advocate, Michael Saylor, says new plan to clean up the blockchain is ‘a bad idea’
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Bitcoin’s biggest advocate, Michael Saylor, says new plan to clean up the blockchain is ‘a bad idea’

Michael Saylor, executive chairman and co-founder of Strategy, has come out swinging against a new proposal to clean up Bitcoin’s ‘spam,’ arguing that it could fundamentally alter how the world’s…
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Polymarket sees BTC above $52K on July 20 at 99.95% despite risk headlines
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Polymarket sees BTC above $52K on July 20 at 99.95% despite risk headlines

Weekend Oil-Shipping Risk Narrative Fails to Reprice Polymarket’s “Bitcoin Above $X on July 20?” Ladder Polymarket’s BTC price-ladder for “Bitcoin above ___ on July 20?” is still pinned near certainty…
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Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as escalation headlines swirl
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Polymarket keeps Iran regime-fall odds at 10.5% as escalation headlines swirl

Polymarket Holds 10.5% “Regime Falls Before 2027” Odds Despite Escalation Headlines On Polymarket, traders currently price a 10.5% chance that the Iranian regime falls before 2027, with $22,397,381 in volume…
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Recent Posts

  • Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%
  • Polymarket odds imply no Fed cuts in 2026 at 85% after AI risk-off note
  • Inside Cardano’s ‘Van Rossum’ hard fork, and what it means for users
  • Exodus to cut 25% of global workforce in payments shift
  • Polymarket odds jump to 94% for no July Fed change after balance sheet note
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